Joker vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
JOK
2 - 0
KOS
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
VJK
0 - 2
JOK
28%
20%
52%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
JOK
1 - 0
PIR
42%
22%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2020 |
JOK
3 - 0
FLO
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2020 |
JOK
2 - 3
SJL
26%
20%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 4
POS
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
PAI
7 - 1
PAR
94%
5%
1%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
TUL
49%
20%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2020 |
KUR
4 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
KOS
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |