Joker vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
76.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
KEI
1 - 3
JOK
76%
13%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
TUL
3 - 1
JOK
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
JOK
2 - 2
PIR
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FLO
7 - 1
JOK
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -3 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
JOK
1 - 0
SJL
26%
20%
54%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PAI
3 - 2
HII
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
PAI
5 - 0
SPO
88%
9%
4%
|
53 | 17 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
KOS
0 - 2
PAI
5%
12%
83%
|
53 | 10 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
PAI
1 - 1
ESV
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 4
PAI
10%
13%
77%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |