Joker vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
HJP
4 - 5
JOK
84%
12%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
KUR
2 - 3
JOK
52%
21%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
JOK
0 - 0
VJK
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
JOK
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
JOK
2 - 0
KOS
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
POS
94%
5%
2%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 0
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
PAI
7 - 0
JKJ
90%
7%
3%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
TUL
94%
5%
2%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
HJP
1 - 3
PAI
43%
23%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |