Joker vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 1
JOK
25%
19%
56%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
JOK
3 - 1
POS
67%
17%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
JOK
4 - 4
TJK
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MST
1 - 2
JOK
32%
20%
48%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PTV
5 - 1
JOK
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PAI
8 - 0
FLO
92%
6%
2%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PAI
5 - 0
LAH
92%
7%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PAI
6 - 1
KUR
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
TKA
0 - 5
PAI
7%
15%
78%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GAN
0 - 6
PAI
11%
18%
71%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |