Joker vs Hiiumaa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
JOK
2 - 1
VJK
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
JOK
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
JOK
4 - 3
PAI
9%
15%
76%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
KEI
1 - 3
JOK
76%
13%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
TUL
3 - 1
JOK
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Hiiumaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
HII
1 - 3
RAP
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
KOS
2 - 6
HII
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
HII
0 - 0
PAR
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PAI
3 - 2
HII
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
HII
3 - 0
KEI
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |