John Hughes vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
John Hughes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
JHF
1 - 1
GRE
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
JHF
0 - 0
AST
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
JHF
0 - 4
PBU
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
JHF
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 1
JHF
70%
17%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
PTI
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
ORO
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
HOP
37%
22%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GSF
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JHF
1 - 3
PAR
22%
19%
58%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |