Joe Public FC vs FC South End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
JOE
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 4
COC
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
5 - 1
JOE
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
FC South End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 0
SEN
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 2
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
SEN
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
STA
2 - 1
SEN
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 4
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |