Joe Public FC vs FC South End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
JOE
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
TBU
0 - 3
JOE
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 3
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
JOE
1 - 1
UPT
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ANN
3 - 5
JOE
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC South End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
CON
3 - 0
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
UPT
2 - 2
SEN
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 2
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
SEN
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 3
TBU
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |