Joe Public FC vs Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
STA
0 - 3
JOE
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
JOE
3 - 2
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
SEN
0 - 2
JOE
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 3
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 1
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
POL
2 - 2
PAU
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
POL
3 - 1
SEN
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
POL
0 - 1
CAL
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
CON
4 - 0
POL
75%
16%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
TBU
3 - 1
POL
59%
20%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |