Joe Public FC vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 4
COC
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
5 - 1
JOE
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
JOE
2 - 3
MUN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
COC
3 - 0
JOE
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 1
JOE
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
PAU
0 - 0
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
POL
2 - 2
PAU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SEN
0 - 3
PAU
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 1
PAU
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |