Joe Public FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
4 - 0
PAU
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
JOE
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
6 - 0
ANN
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
2 - 2
UPT
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
OLI
4 - 0
JOE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
TBU
0 - 10
DEF
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 4
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |