Joe Public FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
JOE
2 - 2
UPT
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CON
3 - 1
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 4
JOE
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
JOE
1 - 0
ANN
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
JOE
0 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
ANN
2 - 1
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
TBU
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
STK
1 - 3
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |