Joe Public FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
JOE
1 - 0
CAL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
JOE
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
UPT
0 - 1
JOE
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
STK
1 - 5
JOE
39%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
JOE
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 2
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 2
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
DEF
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 2
ANN
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
TBU
1 - 2
DEF
30%
26%
43%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |