Joe Public FC vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
JOE
2 - 1
SEN
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
JOE
3 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
JOE
2 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 4
COC
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
CAL
5 - 0
POL
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 2
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
STA
0 - 4
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 0
TBU
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |