Joe Public FC vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
JOE
3 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
JOE
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 3
JOE
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
JOE
0 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 2
UPT
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TBU
0 - 1
CAL
34%
25%
42%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |