Joe Public FC vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
JOE
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UPT
1 - 1
JOE
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
JOE
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
UPT
2 - 2
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 2
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAL
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 0
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
CAL
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |