Joe Public FC vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
JOE
3 - 1
POL
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CON
0 - 2
JOE
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
JOE
3 - 0
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
JOE
2 - 2
UPT
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CON
3 - 1
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
UPT
2 - 0
CAL
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 0
ANN
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 1
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAL
3 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 1
ANN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |