Joacaba AC vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joacaba AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
JAC
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JAC
1 - 3
XVO
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
JAC
76%
17%
8%
|
20 | 59 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
JAC
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
JAC
3 - 1
TUB
15%
20%
66%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | +8 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
TUB
82%
12%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CAX
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
XVO
2 - 1
CAX
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 20 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
82%
13%
6%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |