Trans II vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JFP
1 - 1
JKN
28%
22%
50%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JKN
2 - 0
FCP
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
JKN
1 - 2
NOM
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TUL
1 - 1
JKN
13%
18%
69%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JKN
2 - 0
FCP
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 0
TJK
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FAT
7 - 0
FPC
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAH
1 - 1
FAT
31%
22%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 4
KUR
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 6
FAT
7%
12%
81%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | +1 |