Trans II vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
JFP
5 - 1
JKN
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAH
2 - 1
JKN
19%
20%
60%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JKN
2 - 0
TUL
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
JKN
2 - 2
KUR
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
TJK
3 - 1
JKN
17%
20%
63%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 3
NOM
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 2
FAT
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 4
TAM
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TJK
1 - 2
FAT
21%
21%
58%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAT
7 - 3
LAH
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |