JFK Ventspils vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
11º
9º
63
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 1
FSL
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
KFV
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 2
SKA
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PRA
2 - 0
KFV
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
KFV
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
RIG
22%
22%
56%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 2
RIG
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 0
FSL
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
RIG
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SKA
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |