JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
11º
9º
48
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 2
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 1
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
OUD
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
KFV
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
SMI
28%
20%
52%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 7
RIG
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
RIG
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 20 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
ALB
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
SKA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |