JFK Ventspils vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
64.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
11º
9º
30
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 2
KFV
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 1
SKA
12%
20%
69%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 4
KFV
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
PRA
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
PRA
7%
12%
81%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALB
6 - 2
PRA
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |