Jezero vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
7º
42
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 1
PET
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 0
FKA
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
4 - 2
JEZ
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BUD
3 - 1
JEZ
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 0
RUD
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
JED
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
SUT
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEC
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |