Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
7º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SUT
3 - 0
JEZ
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
JEZ
3 - 1
RUD
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 3
JEZ
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
JEZ
2 - 1
BUD
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 0
ZET
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 2
PET
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 2
FKA
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 5
PAK
10%
14%
76%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MLJ
1 - 1
FKA
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |