Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IKD
1 - 1
JEZ
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
JEZ
1 - 1
IGA
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FKZ
0 - 1
JEZ
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
JEZ
3 - 0
BRA
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JEZ
0 - 1
IKD
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
IKD
0 - 0
FKA
53%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FKA
1 - 1
IBA
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
IGA
1 - 1
FKA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FKA
1 - 4
JED
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
JED
3 - 0
FKA
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |