Jezero vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
7º
50
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 1
JEZ
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 0
IKD
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
JEZ
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PET
2 - 1
JEZ
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 2
JED
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DEC
0 - 1
JED
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 2
DEC
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 2
SUT
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 1
DEC
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
2 - 0
MLJ
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |