Jezero vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ZET
1 - 0
JEZ
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
RUD
0 - 1
JEZ
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MLJ
2 - 0
JEZ
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
IKD
2 - 1
JEZ
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
JEZ
0 - 2
BUD
13%
25%
62%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DEC
2 - 0
IKD
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BUD
2 - 2
DEC
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PET
1 - 5
DEC
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
DEC
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DEC
3 - 0
MLA
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |