Jezero vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
IGA
1 - 0
JEZ
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
JEZ
3 - 3
KOM
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
JEZ
1 - 0
RDB
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
KOM
0 - 0
JEZ
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
IGA
1 - 0
JEZ
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 0
ZAB
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 2
DEC
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DEC
3 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RDB
0 - 4
DEC
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
DEC
0 - 1
IGA
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |