Jesina vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
JES
1 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
JES
66%
19%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
JES
0 - 0
FRA
28%
26%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
JES
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
JES
1 - 0
MAT
10%
20%
70%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +4 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REC
4 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
REC
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 3
REC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
FRA
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |