Jesina vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JES
1 - 1
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
JES
0 - 1
VNZ
11%
21%
68%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 0
JES
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
JES
4 - 2
AVE
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
JES
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JES
1 - 1
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AVE
5 - 3
REC
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
43%
26%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
REC
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |