Jesina vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CIT
0 - 1
JES
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JES
1 - 0
FID
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
JES
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
JES
3 - 3
TER
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ANC
1 - 1
JES
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
REC
1 - 3
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AST
2 - 1
REC
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
REC
0 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RCA
1 - 2
REC
42%
27%
31%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
REC
3 - 3
ISE
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |