Jesina vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
JES
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
JES
3 - 3
TER
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ANC
1 - 1
JES
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JES
2 - 2
FCC
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
JES
5 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FID
2 - 2
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
FID
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FID
1 - 4
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RCA
1 - 2
FID
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANZ
7 - 3
FID
34%
24%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -3 |