Jesina vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
JES
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JES
3 - 0
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GIU
2 - 1
JES
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
JES
2 - 0
ISE
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
3 - 1
JES
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FER
2 - 3
ANC
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 9
FER
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FER
4 - 3
VIS
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 2
FER
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
MAT
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |