Jesina vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 0
JES
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
JES
1 - 1
UST
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
JES
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 2
JES
61%
19%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JES
0 - 1
REC
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 0
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 0
SFF
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GIU
2 - 1
ASD
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 2
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |