Jerv vs Sandviken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
8º
3º
14
1º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 39% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 61% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VIN
0 - 3
JER
15%
19%
66%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
JER
27%
24%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
JER
1 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FKA
0 - 1
JER
34%
22%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 0
JER
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sandviken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
NHH
1 - 3
SAN
8%
15%
77%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
LYS
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
OTF
4 - 5
SAN
37%
22%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FYL
1 - 2
SAN
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |