Jerv vs Sandnes Ulf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
8º
3º
31
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 73.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
NOT
2 - 3
JER
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
JER
1 - 1
FKA
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FFC
1 - 1
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 3
JER
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
JER
0 - 1
EGE
19%
19%
62%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sandnes Ulf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
LYS
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 5
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRA
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |