Jerv vs IK Start analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
15º
15º
46
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KFU
6 - 2
JER
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
JER
1 - 3
BRY
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MJO
2 - 2
JER
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
JER
0 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KRI
3 - 1
JER
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
IKS
2 - 2
FFK
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RAN
0 - 0
IKS
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
IKS
1 - 0
ASA
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RAU
2 - 1
IKS
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
IKS
2 - 0
SOG
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |