Jerv vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
2º
33
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JER
0 - 0
ETO
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
KVI
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 2
JER
19%
23%
59%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JER
1 - 3
BRA
48%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
SSK
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
FKA
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 6
HOD
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KVI
0 - 3
FKA
20%
21%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 3
LYS
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |