Jerv vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
2º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SSK
0 - 2
JER
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
JER
0 - 3
STR
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
HOD
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 1
JER
35%
23%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
RIL
0 - 2
JER
6%
13%
82%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 4
ETO
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
2 - 3
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 3
BRA
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIK
36%
22%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
VIK
37%
21%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |