Jersey Express vs Reading United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
REA
5 - 0
JER
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
JER
2 - 1
EVE
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JER
1 - 5
NEW
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
JER
5 - 3
LEH
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 5
JER
23%
19%
58%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
REA
5 - 0
JER
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
OCE
1 - 0
REA
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 4
REA
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
OCE
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
REA
3 - 0
EVE
87%
9%
3%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | +1 |