Jersey Express vs Connecticut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
WES
1 - 8
JER
7%
14%
80%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
JER
12%
17%
70%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
JER
2 - 1
LON
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
JER
4 - 1
NEW
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
NYC
3 - 0
JER
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAC
0 - 0
WES
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SEA
3 - 0
CAC
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
WES
0 - 1
CAC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CAC
0 - 1
SEA
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
CAC
2 - 3
VIR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |