Jersey Express vs Bermuda Hogges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
CJS
0 - 2
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
OCE
2 - 1
JER
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
JER
1 - 1
BAL
70%
17%
12%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
JER
1 - 0
OCE
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
WES
2 - 2
JER
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Bermuda Hogges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
LON
2 - 0
BER
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
BKN
2 - 3
BER
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
WES
5 - 1
BER
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
BKN
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
NJL
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |