Jerez vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 1
JER
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
JER
2 - 0
EMD
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
JER
4 - 1
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 0
JER
30%
25%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
JER
2 - 0
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TRU
3 - 0
UDF
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
TRU
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TRU
4 - 2
PLA
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 3
TRU
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 2
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |