Jerez vs Sp. Villanueva Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 0
JER
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
JER
0 - 1
MEL
33%
31%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
JER
0 - 2
EXT
35%
30%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SEV
3 - 0
JER
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
JER
0 - 0
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |