Jerez vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
25.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
JER
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
JER
0 - 0
VEC
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
JER
2 - 0
MER
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CDB
0 - 0
JER
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
LAN
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 1
MER
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CDB
1 - 0
RJA
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 1
LAN
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RJA
4 - 0
BET
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |