Jerez vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
JER
1 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 1
JER
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MOT
1 - 0
JER
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
JER
1 - 1
ECI
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
PLA
2 - 0
JER
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
RJA
1 - 1
TAL
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
SEV
0 - 3
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AGD
1 - 2
RJA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
RJA
0 - 1
MOT
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ECI
2 - 3
RJA
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |