Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JER
0 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
JER
64%
22%
15%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
JER
0 - 0
COR
24%
25%
50%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
JER
58%
23%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
CDD
55%
24%
20%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CPC
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
JER
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 3
MOR
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
CPC
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |