Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CPC
0 - 1
JER
66%
22%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JER
0 - 0
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UCL
0 - 2
JER
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JER
3 - 1
UDF
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 3
JER
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 3
AZU
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CDB
4 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 1
UCL
69%
19%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |