Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SNV
0 - 0
JER
21%
26%
52%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 1
JER
19%
27%
54%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
JER
1 - 0
SAM
59%
26%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
JER
3 - 1
SNV
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
JER
16%
25%
59%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 1
MIA
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 1
JER
19%
27%
54%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SNV
2 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
DBN
4 - 0
MOR
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |